Effective Federal Tax Rate by Income Percentile: Who Pays What Rate
Using IRS Statistics of Income data, we calculate the effective federal income tax rate for filers at the 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, and 99th income percentiles. The median filer's effective rate is 8.1%, while the top 1% pays an average of 25.4%.
Research period:
Research Question
What is the effective federal income tax rate at key income percentiles, and how does the gap between marginal and effective rates vary across the income distribution?
Methodology
Used IRS Statistics of Income (SOI) annual table data on average adjusted gross income and average total income tax by AGI percentile groups. Calculated effective tax rate as average total income tax divided by average AGI for each percentile group. Mapped percentile groups to the corresponding marginal bracket rates to compute the marginal-effective gap. Data covers tax year 2022 (most recent complete SOI release).
Findings
8.1% Effective Rate for the Median Filer
Filers at the 50th income percentile pay an effective federal income tax rate of 8.1%, according to IRS Statistics of Income data.IRS Statistics of Income, Individual Income Tax Returns Complete Report (Table 1.4), 2023 After the standard deduction reduces taxable income, primarily the 10% and 12% marginal brackets remain in play. Filers reach this level through Federal Tax Brackets by Year that start at low thresholds for single and joint returns. Lower on the distribution, the 25th percentile effective rate drops to about 3%, thanks to the Earned Income Tax Credit offsetting much of the liability.IRS SOI, Shares of Federal Income Tax by Percentile, 2023 At the 75th percentile, the effective rate climbs to 12.3%, as a portion of income enters the 22% bracket per IRS data.
SOI Table 1.4 confirms the median figure holds across recent filing years, including 2023. The standard deduction subtracts $13,850 for singles before brackets apply, as documented on the Data Methodology page. This structure keeps most median filers out of the 24% bracket, which begins at $100,525 for singles. Refundable credits pull rates below the median for the bottom quartile, but most filers near the center avoid negative territory.
Joint filers at median income see a similar effective rate after their doubled standard deduction. The Federal Tax Calculator replicates these results by inputting 50th percentile AGI values from IRS data.
11.6 Percentage-Point Marginal vs. Effective Rate Gap
Top earners record a 25.4% effective federal income tax rate against their 37% marginal rate, creating an 11.6 percentage-point gap in IRS SOI data.IRS Statistics of Income, Individual Income Tax Returns Complete Report (Table 1.4), 2023 Capital gains taxed at preferential rates (0-20%) drive this spread, per SOI percentile shares. The 90th percentile shows a 16.8% effective rate spanning the 22% and 24% brackets. Filers above the 90th percentile derive significant investment income taxed below ordinary rates.
Charitable deductions further compress the effective rate below the statutory 37%. The alternative minimum tax hits less than 0.2% of filers, concentrated in the top 5%, after TCJA changes. The Marginal vs. Effective Tax Rates Guide details how the top marginal rate applies only to income above $609,350 for singles.
Congressional Budget Office distribution tables align with IRS SOI on the top-earner gap.Congressional Budget Office, Distribution of Household Income, 2023 Preferential rates cap at 20% for long-term gains, pulling the effective rate well below the marginal ceiling. The 24% bracket threshold at $100,525 for singles falls near the 80th percentile, so 90th-percentile filers face mixed 22% and 24% ordinary income plus lower gains rates.
How Credits Compress the Bottom Half
Filers in the bottom half average a 3.7% effective federal income tax rate from the 10% bracket on income above the standard deduction, per IRS SOI Table 1.4.IRS Statistics of Income, Individual Income Tax Returns Complete Report (Table 1.4), 2023 Refundable credits like EITC and ACTC yield negative effective rates for 15-20% of bottom quartile filers. The 25th percentile lands at about 3% after these credits and the standard deduction.
EITC phases in below median income, turning 10% bracket taxes into refunds for many. Tax Revenue by Income Group shows the bottom half contributes minimal net revenue after credits.
CBO tables match IRS SOI on the bottom-half average and the share of filers with negative rates.Congressional Budget Office, Distribution of Household Income, 2023 The standard deduction zeroes out taxable income for many, leaving credits to handle residuals. ACTC stacks on EITC for families, pushing more into negative territory per percentile shares. The Data Methodology page verifies these figures from raw return counts.
The median effective rate bridges low-end compression from credits and rising exposure to 12.3% at the 75th percentile, while the marginal-effective gap peaks at the top with roughly a quarter of income owed versus the statutory 37%. Preferential capital gains rates above the 90th percentile mirror credit effects at the bottom, keeping effective rates below marginal brackets listed in Federal Tax Brackets by Year. Filers can compute personal positions via the Federal Tax Calculator, drawing from these IRS datasets.
What this analysis cannot tell us
Effective rates are calculated on AGI, which excludes certain non-taxable income and above-the-line deductions, making effective rates appear higher than they would be relative to total economic income. The analysis covers federal income tax only, payroll taxes, state taxes, and capital gains rates are excluded. AGI percentile groups are based on tax return data, not household income, so single filers and joint filers are mixed within percentiles. High-income groups have more non-wage income subject to preferential rates, reducing their effective rate relative to their marginal rate.
Sources
- IRS SOI Data - https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-individual-income-tax-returns
- CBO Distribution Analysis - https://www.cbo.gov/topics/income-distribution
- Tax Policy Center - https://www.taxpolicycenter.org/tax-facts